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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,4x - 9,2x | 8,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,6x - 11,7x | 11,2x |
| Fair Value | Rp1.167 - Rp1.419 | Rp1.293 |
| Upside | -20,9% - -3,8% | -12,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| SCG Construction Group Joint Stock Company | SCG | HNX:SCG |
| PT Cardig Aero Services Tbk | CASS | IDX:CASS |
| PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk | MLIA | IDX:MLIA |
| Dong Nai Port Joint Stock Company | PDN | HOSE:PDN |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HAH | SCG | CASS | MLIA | PDN | CMNP | ||
| HOSE:HAH | HNX:SCG | IDX:CASS | IDX:MLIA | HOSE:PDN | IDX:CMNP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 47.3% | 98.3% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 20.3% | 9.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.8% | NM- | 69.0% | -23.1% | 27.2% | 20.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 117.5% | 1696.3% | 62.2% | -55.1% | 10.9% | 0.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.9% | 4.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 28.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.6% | -1.8% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 30.4% | 22.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 26.5% | 6.8% | 31.0% | 9.9% | 31.0% | 41.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.5% | 7.4% | 31.0% | 7.6% | 31.5% | 41.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.55x | 3.39x | 1.17x | 0.45x | 2.82x | 3.97x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 45.2x | 3.5x | 2.8x | 8.0x | 8.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.7x | 45.7x | 3.8x | 5.9x | 9.0x | 9.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.8x | 9.0x | 45.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 11.1x | 13.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 8.8x | 9.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,718,698 | 1,718,698 | 1,718,698 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 14,369,996 | 15,126,312 | 15,882,627 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,428,149) | (7,428,149) | (7,428,149) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 6,941,848 | 7,698,163 | 8,454,479 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,029.6 | 6,029.6 | 6,029.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,151.30 | 1,276.73 | 1,402.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,151.30 | 1,276.73 | 1,402.17 | 1,475.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.9% | -13.4% | -4.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HAH | SCG | CASS | MLIA | PDN | CMNP | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,198,103 | 9,498,177 | 3,246,493 | 1,935,171 | 3,886,474 | 16,321,788 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 992,390 | 147,862 | 1,480,054 | 657,185 | 771,711 | 132,901 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 173,753 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 70,965 | 550,603 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,330,258) | (3,963,217) | (122,633) | (714,096) | (98,661) | (6,641,194) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (694,766) | (13,323) | (534,361) | 0 | 0 | (1,470,459) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,339,222 | 5,669,500 | 4,069,553 | 1,878,660 | 4,630,489 | 8,893,639 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 129.9 | 85.0 | 2,087.0 | 6,615.0 | 37.0 | 6,029.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 64,200.00 | 66,700.00 | 1,950.00 | 284.00 | 125,000.00 | 1,475.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 64,200.00 | 66,700.00 | 1,950.00 | 284.00 | 125,000.00 | 1,475.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | IDR | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |