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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 26,5x - 29,3x | 27,9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 23,2x - 25,7x | 24,5x |
Fair Value | ₹1.959 - ₹2.130 | ₹2.045 |
Upside | -30,4% - -24,4% | -27,4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Larsen & Toubro Limited | LT | NSEI:LT |
Bharat Electronics Limited | BEL | NSEI:BEL |
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited | GRSE | NSEI:GRSE |
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited | HAL | NSEI:HAL |
Taneja Aerospace and Aviation Limited | 522229 | BSE:522229 |
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited | MAZDOCK | NSEI:MAZDOCK |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
LT | BEL | GRSE | HAL | 522229 | MAZDOCK | ||
NSEI:LT | NSEI:BEL | NSEI:GRSE | NSEI:HAL | BSE:522229 | NSEI:MAZDOCK | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 11.5% | 42.6% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 40.4% | |
3Y CAGR | 13.5% | 15.9% | 51.6% | 25.7% | 9.3% | 83.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | 38.6% | 77.1% | 46.9% | 20.6% | 128.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.4% | 23.2% | 6.1% | 20.6% | 52.4% | 9.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 23.1% | 5.9% | 19.6% | 58.4% | 10.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 12.0% | 25.2% | 6.6% | 27.3% | 62.9% | 14.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | 27.5% | 6.6% | 27.4% | 62.1% | 21.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.16x | 9.42x | 3.82x | 8.43x | 18.97x | 8.81x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.0x | 34.3x | 57.7x | 30.8x | 30.5x | 40.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 21.5x | 36.7x | 66.5x | 34.7x | 37.4x | 41.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.0x | 30.8x | 57.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -17.0x | -5.3x | 22.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 26.5x | 27.9x | 29.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 24,523 | 24,523 | 24,523 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 650,328 | 684,556 | 718,784 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 135,579 | 135,579 | 135,579 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 785,907 | 820,135 | 854,363 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 403.4 | 403.4 | 403.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1,948.30 | 2,033.16 | 2,118.01 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,948.30 | 2,033.16 | 2,118.01 | 2,816.20 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -30.8% | -27.8% | -24.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | LT | BEL | GRSE | HAL | 522229 | MAZDOCK | |
Enterprise Value | 5,275,071 | 2,183,112 | 170,037 | 2,700,554 | 6,908 | 1,000,420 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 554,391 | 83,162 | 35,428 | 289,083 | 101 | 135,941 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,261,835) | (608) | (96) | (12) | (3) | (362) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,567,628 | 2,265,666 | 205,369 | 2,989,625 | 7,006 | 1,135,999 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,375.2 | 7,309.8 | 114.6 | 668.8 | 25.5 | 403.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,321.40 | 309.95 | 1,792.80 | 4,470.30 | 274.75 | 2,816.20 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,321.40 | 309.95 | 1,792.80 | 4,470.30 | 274.75 | 2,816.20 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |